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November 4, 2008
Poll Watching
In September, I posted an entry regarding the election and economic indicators. My point was perhaps since elections are won and lost by state in our Electoral College, we could look at each state’s economy and use it as a proxy for polls. You can take a peek at the last map of the United States in my previous entry and note which states are listed as “Expansion,” "At Risk," or “Recession.” And now, compare what you saw to this map that is updated live on Dismal Scientist today.
In two months, the following changes have been noted:
Moving from “ Expansion” to “At Risk”
Montana
Wyoming
Colorado
New Mexico
Texas
Moving from “At Risk” to “Recession”
Minnesota
Iowa
Arkansas
West Virginia
The only state remaining classified as “Expansion” is Alaska. Our map has changed a lot according to the economic indicators; we’ll be looking tonight to see how it has changed in the Electoral College. For all you who follow the political pundits closely and have scribbled down all states to watch tonight -- maybe add the ones above and gauge how important the local economy really is to elections. Are there any other states that you think are important to look at for economic reasons?
Posted by Cindy at November 4, 2008 5:24 PM
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